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LIVE FROM ETF.com Conference: Expert Bashes ETFMs

Markets Muse senior staff dumped their snow boots and instead, has boots on the ground at the Florida ETF boondoggle hosted by ETF.com. One of the more reportable take-aways (so far) is our capturing the following comment about the much talked about new product trend focused on non-transparent, hedge fund-esque ETFs,  courtesy of one industry expert (who chooses not to be cited for fear of having to check under his car every day before starting the engine):

“Actively-Managed ETFs aka ETMFs will only benefit ‘Issuers’ and respective ‘managers’ who promote HF-style styles under the guise of a so-called “index.” At best, this is a marketing ploy to capture AUM and fees for a product that is completely counter-intuitive to the premise that made ETFs attractive in the first place (transparency and hence liquidity). Hedge Funds such as those managed by the Jeff Gundlach’s of the world charge “2 & 20” but can only target a relatively small universe of investors. With the assortment of ETMFs on the drawing board, the only thing that is clear and transparent is that these ‘ETMF innovators’ are merely trying to ‘scale’ their secret-sauce models by targeting millions of less-sophisticated investors (via a 50% reduction in typical management fees) and folks who would otherwise not pass the institutional investor litmus test (QUIB) for a typical hedge fund that changes its positions more frequently than most folks change their underwear.”

Virtus Investment Partners Take on The ETF Market

MarketMuse update is courtesy of MarketWatch.

Virtus Investment Partners (NASDAQ: VRTS), multi-manager asset management business,  announced that they have reached an agreement with ETF Issuer Solutions (ETFis) , a comprehensive platform for listing, operating, and distributing exchange traded funds. Virtus Investment Partners will acquire the majority interest from the deal.  The transaction will provide Virtus with manufacturing capabilities for both active and passive ETFs, adding to its broad product line-up.

ETFis, founded in 2012, recently introduced the industry’s first actively managed ETF investing exclusively in master limited partnerships, the InfraCap MLP ETF AMZA, +0.14% 1. It currently manages two other ETFs and has seven additional ETFs in registration with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All of the company’s ETFs are managed by external subadvisers.

“There is growing interest among financial advisors and investors to use exchange-traded funds in their retail and institutional portfolios because of the tax efficiency and liquidity benefits that ETFs offer,” said George R. Aylward, president and chief executive officer of Virtus. “The ETFis business model is similar to the Virtus approach of offering investors access to strategies of boutique managers. This partnership with ETFis will expand our product capabilities and allow us to offer compelling investment strategies in an actively managed ETF format.”

ETFis will become a Virtus affiliate and continue to operate as a multi-manager ETF platform, providing investors access to differentiated investment capabilities from select subadvisers. The company is led by its co-founders, Matthew B. Brown, who manages operations and technology capabilities, and William J. Smalley, head of product strategy and management.

“We developed ETF Issuer Solutions to provide a technology-driven, ETF-specific platform that offers significant cost and operational efficiencies. The partnership with Virtus gives us the resources and support to execute on our long-term vision of building a leading multi-manager ETF platform,” said Smalley. “We are excited to have the opportunity to combine our offerings with Virtus’ extensive distribution capabilities to create a compelling alternative for asset managers that want to make their actively managed strategies available in an exchange-traded fund structure.”

The Newfleet Multi-Sector Unconstrained Bond ETF2 will be the first new offering managed by a Virtus affiliate added to the ETFis platform. The fund will leverage the Newfleet Asset Management team’s broad experience in multi-sector fixed-income investing in a strategy that will have the flexibility to capitalize on opportunities across all sectors of the bond markets, including evolving, specialized, and out-of-favor sectors, as it seeks to deliver relatively high income and an attractive total return. A registration statement for the fund has been filed with the SEC.

The transaction is expected to close in March. Terms were not disclosed. Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP acted as legal advisor to Virtus. Haynes & Boone LLP acted as legal advisor to ETFis.

Forward-Looking Information

This press release contains statements that are, or may be considered to be, forward-looking statements. All statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs or expectations, are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements may be identified by such forward-looking terminology as “expect,” “estimate,” “plan,” “intend,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “continue,” “project,” or similar statements or variations of such terms. Our forward-looking statements are based on a series of expectations, assumptions and projections about our company, are not guarantees of future results or performance, and involve substantial risks and uncertainty as described in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K or in any of our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), which are available on our website at www.virtus.com under “Investor Relations.” All of our forward-looking statements are as of the date of this release only. The company can give no assurance that such expectations or forward-looking statements will prove to be correct. Actual results may differ materially. You are urged to carefully consider all such factors.

For the entire article from MarketWatch, click here.

 

ETMFs vs ETFs

As the exchange-traded fund marketplace continues to evolve, the recent introduction of “exchange-traded managed funds”, aka ETMFs, has opened Pandora’s Box for those who have embraced “traditional” ETFs because of their transparency, real-time pricing (vs “end of day price setting”) and the relative ease of diagnosing liquidity by interrogating bid-offer markets in the respective underlying components.  The ETMF construct is intentionally-designed to mask the underlying components because (i) the underlyings are subject to change subject to the active manager’s strategy and (ii) mitigate the risk of market participants ‘gaming’ the cash ETMF via arbitraging the underlying components.

The excerpt below is courtesy of the 2nd of a series of interviews conducted by PA-based ValueShares and insight provided by Mike Castino, Senior Vice President.

Background:

Mike Castino, Senior Vice President

Mike Castino serves as business development officer for the Exchange Traded Funds division. Mr. Castino joined U.S. Bancorp Fund Services in 2013 with more than 20 years of business development, relationship management, marketing, managerial experience, and futures/equity trading experience. Prior to joining U.S. Bancorp Fund Services, Mr. Castino worked for Zacks Investment Management as managing director of the Index Services Division. He also held the position of vice president of Institutional Sales for Claymore ETFs (now Guggenheim Funds) and was senior floor trader at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange for a major Wall Street trading firm. He is also serves as chairman and trustee of ETF Series Solutions, our ETF trust. Mr. Castino received his Bachelor of Arts degree in business management from Illinois State University and is Series 7 and 66 licensed.

Interview:

The SEC recently approved Eaton Vance’s application to create exchange traded managed funds, or ETMFs. What is your opinion of ETMFs? Will the mutual fund companies now rush to launch ETMFs, and pay licensing fees to Eaton Vance, or will we see mostly just Eaton Vance products?

Mike: ETMFs are a welcome step forward in the in the evolution of non-transparent ETFs. Mutual fund families concerned about the non-daily disclosure of portfolio holdings can benefit from this structure as well as the added ability to mitigate capital gains. Given these benefits, Eaton Vance believes their clients may benefit from this structure, and mutual fund families sharing this sentiment may also be candidates for licensing this intellectual property.

While widely viewed by the larger investment community as a hybrid of existing structures, a mutual fund and an ETF, the SEC defines ETMFs as a separate and new structure. This becomes critical to definitively understanding which regulatory agencies or SROs, such as FINRA, may be establishing guidelines for this new structure, and what these guidelines may entail. At this time it is unknown whether it will it be similar to existing policies and procedures, or if regulatory changes will be occurring in the future.

Are ETMFs good for the investor? Specifically, can you help us understand ETMF liquidity? ETMFs will be “non-transparent” in the sense that they will only disclose their holdings monthly, or quarterly with a lag, as with mutual funds. Yet, if Authorized Participants (market makers) don’t know what an underlying ETMF basket looks like, how will they be able to maintain tight NAV spreads via the arbitrage process, as they do today with traditional ETFs? Any insights?

Mike: The ability to buy/sell shares of the ETF during the day at traditional bid/ask pricing does not exist in in the ETMF structure. ETMFs will be priced at the ETMF end of day NAV, plus or minus a determined spread.

To illustrate, let’s assume you purchased an ETF and an ETMF with the same underlying portfolio holdings at 10 a.m. on the same day. At the time of the purchase, the ETF was bought for $25 and the ETMF was bought for the NAV of $25 plus $.01. After the purchase, the market rallies before the end of the day. You paid $25 for the ETF which settles later that day at $25.50. The ETMF NAV will also have gained that day, but since your ETMF purchase price is based on end-of-day NAV, your actual purchase price is $25.51 ($25 starting NAV plus $.50 gained in the rally plus $.01). Effectively, you did not participate in the rally even if you purchased the ETMF at the same time as the ETF. Likewise, if you sell out an ETMF in the morning in anticipation of a sell off, you still get the end-of-day NAV plus or minus pricing.

This in no way indicates a flaw in the ETMF structure or that they are bad for investors. Many buy and hold investors will like the fact that they get end of day pricing and may not be subject to an intraday premium or discount relative to the current NAV. This holds true for many long-term mutual fund investors who will now potentially benefit from the tax mitigation features of ETMFs. It may be only tactical investors who are looking to buy at the start of the rally and capture that price movement, who would not find it beneficial to purchase an ETMF.

Liquidity and effectively pricing the shares may be a concern for some market makers. The specifics of what will be known about the portfolio when disclosed in the create/redeem process and what may have to be “reverse engineered” during the trading day if the ETMF is making changes to its portfolio during the trading day may widen spreads and affect the depth of book. Regardless, a portfolio of highly correlated, liquid securities may help market makers more confidently price the fund. While this is my opinion, investors should consult a market maker for their professional opinion.

What do you think are the most important considerations in selecting key service providers (e.g., custody, fund administration, fund accounting, statutory distribution) for an ETF?

Mike: Selection of an experienced service provider is an operational necessity. The greatest operational and cost efficiencies can often be achieved by using a service provider who offers full service options inclusive of administration, accounting, custody, index receipt agent and distributor services. This service offering should be built on state-of-the-art technology for create/redeem order entry among the seamlessly integrated internal systems that provide necessary access and reporting capabilities for the client and capital markets participants.

Beyond these services, the ability to provide an existing multiple series trust in which you can launch your ETF(s) using your own relief or “rented” relief is very helpful to new clients.

Many ETF providers have struggled with the question of distribution. It can be hard to identify who is buying ETFs on the secondary market, and this creates challenges for salesmen, who can’t attribute a secondary market trade to specific actions they took to make a sale. How do you think the industry will ultimately solve this problem?

Mike: Many wirehouses may be able to provide this information to you for a fee. There are data vendors out there who offer limited, but useful, data in this area of ETF ownership information as well.

Many ETF sponsors pay their ETF wholesale teams based first on a share of “pooled commissions” from AUM gathering. Additional incentives/commissions may be paid based on success stories wholesalers can provide their managers. For example, if they have a particular wirehouse advisor or RIA team that invests heavily in an ETF or ETFs, they may be inclined to contact the manager regarding that wholesaler and the valuable assistance they provide.

Due to the exchange listed nature of ETF shares, and the fact that they are not “transactional” like a mutual fund or unit investment trust, there may never be a final solution. But the current system of sharing a portion and building a case for additional incentives based on hard work should never go out of style. ETFs require servicing after the sale and the best wholesalers are product experts who can answer questions about the ETF methodology and other vital ETF subjects such as creation/redemption, liquidity, and best execution.

ETF.com Announces Finalists for ETF Industry Beauty Pageant Awards; 25 Categories; 100+ Nominees

“And the nominees are…” MarketsMuse update profiles ETF industry portal ETF.com annual awards for ‘Best Of’ across 25 different categories, with more than 100 nominees. Winnners will be announced at an awards dinner that will take place March 19 at Pier 61 in New York City.

Below please find the extract from the ETF.com announcement.

“….In recognizing the forces that support the growth of the ETF industry, each year at its annual ETF.com Awards Dinner ETF.com recognizes the people, companies and products that are moving the industry forward. The dinner takes place March 19 at Pier 61 in New York City.

The award selection process follows three steps:

  1. An open nominating process
  2. A “Nominating Committee” composed of senior members of ETF.com’s editorial and analytics components narrows the nominees to a maximum of five in each category
  3. A “Selection Committee” of independent ETF experts votes on the winners.

The nominees are:

Category 1: Lifetime Achievement Award

Awarded annually to one living individual for outstanding long-term contributions to ETF investor outcomes, whether from a position of media, regulation, product provider or investor. Previous winners are not eligible.

Nominee No. 1: John Bogle
From an untiring emphasis on the “humble arithmetic” of indexing, to the customer-owned structure of his brainchild, Vanguard, there’s zero doubt that Jack Bogle is perhaps the biggest reason fund fees are falling and getting lower. Even his cranky critique of the perils of over-trading ETFs is, in its way, laudable: He truly wants what’s best for investors.

Nominee No.2: Lee Kranefuss
You won’t find an executive with more ETF-specific “street cred” than Lee Kranefuss. His almost-evangelical belief that the future of investing belonged to ETFs has been crucial to the rise of the industry. Under his direction, iShares grew to be the biggest ETF issuer in the world, and the unrivaled breadth of the company’s product line serves as the perfect metaphor of the power of ETFs.

Nominee No. 3: Burton Malkiel
Burton Malkiel put indexing on the map with his 1973 book, “A Random Walk Down Wall Street.” An enthusiastic proponent of index–based investments and ETFs, this Princeton academic remains engaged in many realms of the investment business, not least at chief investment officer of Wealthfront, the biggest player in the new “robo-advisor” field.

Nominee No. 4: Gus Sauter
During his 25-year career at Vanguard, Gus Sauter saw the firm shift from upstart to the biggest mutual fund company in the world. Sauter’s emphasis on indexing, on thoughtful diversification in asset allocation and on encouraging investors to stick to their plans puts Sauter and his nearly decade-long stint as CIO at the very center of Vanguard’s spectacular rise.

Category 2: ETF of the Year – 2014
Awarded to the ETF that has done the most to improve investor opportunities and outcomes in 2014, by opening new areas of the market, lowering costs, delivering new exposures or otherwise creating better options for investors. There is no requirement on when this fund launched.

Nominee No. 1: Global X GF China Bond (CHNB)

As the first ETF to provide access to China’s onshore bond interbank market, CHNB opened up the third-largest fixed-income market in the world. The fund pulled in nearly $50 million in investor flows in 2014, and offered investors the opportunity to access a relatively high-yielding asset with low credit risk.

Nominee No. 2: PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury (ZROZ | C-57)
2014 was supposed to be a year of rising interest rates. Instead, rates plunged, and funds on the edge of the duration spectrum like ZROZ returned nearly 50 percent. As the longest-duration US-bond ETF, ZROZ was well positioned to ride 2014’s surprise rate drop. With a 0.15 percent annual expense ratio, ZROZ allows cheap, efficient access to the longest-term U.S. Treasuries.

Nominee No. 3: Vanguard Total International Bond (BNDX | B-57)
Vanguard broke new ground in the ETF world by offering the first global ex-U.S. broad-market bond fund. While other global-ex U.S. fixed-income funds cover parts of the bond universe—sovereigns or corporates—BNDX covers the entire non-USD investment-grade bond market. Vanguard’s choice to hedge BNDX’s currency exposure reduces the number of risk considerations for U.S.-based investors. At 20 basis points, the fund is very well priced, and quite efficiently run. The fund pulled in more than $2 billion in net inflows in 2014.

Nominee No. 4: Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI | A-100)
Among the 38 ETFs offering total U.S. stock market exposure, VTI stands out for best representation and exceptionally low costs. With nearly 3,700 constituents, VTI captures virtually the entire investable U.S. equity market. Better still, VTI actually costs less than its published expense ratio of 5 basis points, with an average actual tracking difference versus its index of just 2 bps. VTI covers the entire U.S. stock market, basically for free; it’s hard to argue with that.
Nominee No. 5: WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity (HEDJ | B-48)
The only nonvanilla ETF to make the top 10 flows list in 2014, HEDJ has captured the attention (and dollars) of tactical investors looking to make a currency-hedged bet on eurozone equities. With the euro on the rocks, its ability to protect against falling currency meant it outperformed non-hedged European equity ETFs by 10-12 percent for the year. HEDJ attracted $4.9 billion of inflows in 2014.

Category 3: Best New ETF – 2014
Awarded to the most important ETF launched in 2014. Note: Importance is measured by the overall contribution to positive investor outcomes. The award may recognize ETFs that open new areas of the market, lower costs, drive risk-adjusted performance or provide innovative exposures not previously available to most investors. Only ETFs with inception dates after Jan. 1, 2014, are eligible.

Nominee No. 1: EMQQ Emerging Markets Internet & Ecommerce (EMQQ | B-48)

As amazing as emerging market funds like VWO, EEM or IEMG are, they do have some conspicuous holes, which EMQQ aims to fill. Investors who want to own all of the emerging markets cannot overlook EMQQ, which will give them access to Internet and e-commerce companies that are typically excluded from traditional indexes because they are listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

Nominee No. 2: First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF (FV | C-23)

FV is a perfect example of how flexible ETFs are. This fund qualifies as a catchy riff on the “smart beta” trend, putting into one convenient, dynamic and tradable fund-of-funds wrapper Tom Dorsey’s popular system of technical analysis. It was the fastest-growing new ETF launched in 2014, pulling in $1.2 billion in inflows.

Nominee No. 3: iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (IUSB | D)

Broad-market bond funds that track the Barclays Aggregate overlook certain corners of the U.S. bond market: High-yield bonds are excluded from the Agg, for instance, as are many internationally issued bonds denominated in U.S. dollars. IUSB offers a broader take on the bond market, bringing extra yield to core bond exposure. It’s also cheap, charging just 0.15 percent a year in expenses.

Nominee No. 4: Market Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF (CBON)

CBON offered U.S. investors access to Chinese debt issued in mainland China for the very first time. With the Chinese market rallying and bond opportunities looking thin elsewhere, this novel exposure is a welcome addition to the mix.

Nominee No. 5: PowerShares DB Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy (PDBC) This fund isn’t the first of its kind in the commodity space, but it is the cheapest, and that counts for a lot in a pocet of the ETF industry that remains relatively pricey. The fund allows investors to steer clear of cumbersome “K-1” tax forms reserved for futures while still enjoying futures-like exposure.

For the entire announcement from ETF.com, please click here.

2015 Buy Side Trader Resolutions:Be More Targeted When Using Sell-Side Executioners; These Experts Would Know

MarketsMuse update courtesy of extracts from 31 December story in industry mag Markets Media.com

marketsmedia logoThe buy side is becoming more targeted with sell-side firms, employing a rifle rather than a shotgun approach as liquidity continues to shrink. A big factor behind this newfound independence has been the lessening of liquidity in 2014 in derivatives and fixed income markets, which has forced buy-side institutions to be more resourceful in sourcing liquidity

“The buy-side is more empowered and understandably, taking greater ownership of their execution and process,” Jennica Ross, managing director at execution firm WallachBeth Capital, told Markets Media. “Within those segments they are obviously narrowing the relationships that they have. They don’t need to have the plethora and the sheer numbers of external sell-side relationships that they had before, and the relationships they do have are now much more consultative.”

“The most surprising thing was how many market making firms basically closed up,” said Dave Beth, president and chief operating officer at WallachBeth. “The lessening of liquidity throughout the whole derivative landscape, both listed and the OTC, we see happening at a broad stroke. Clients should expect [spreads] in derivative markets to widen a little bit. I think it has a lot to do with regulation and with balance sheet usage in the bigger institutions.”

In WallachBeth’s ETF market making business, liquidity remains at high levels. “As far as the ETF cash business, one could say the liquidity is as great as ever and it continues to grow,” Beth said. “Whereas in the listed and OTC options space, there’s been an express decrease in immediately actionable liquidity. I think that it’s affected us no different than any other player. I think clients also recognize that the playing field is changing, and that it’s okay to pay a little bit of a wider spread to get their business done.”

WallachBeth continues to diversify its business in order to take up the slack left by the exit of larger sell-side institutions.

“While there’s been contraction of liquidity within the derivatives space, we’ve seen an increased opportunity from more clients who are getting involved in our other business units, whether that be equity, program trading or fixed income trading,” said Ross.

For the full story from Markets Media, please click here.

 

Option Traders Aim For More Declines in Junk Bond ETFs

MarketsMuse update courtesy of extract from ETFtrends.com column by Senior Editor Todd Shriber..

ETFTrends-logoExchange traded funds holding high-yield debt have stumbled this year due in large part to sliding oil prices. Some options traders are betting on further declines for the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEArca: HYG), the largest junk bond ETF.

Options hedging against swings in HYG “cost the most since 2010 versus those on an ETF following Treasuries and were at an almost six-year high relative to contracts on a Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fund,” report Inyoung Hwang and Jonathan Morgan for Bloomberg.

HYG is off 3.1% this year, but the ETF’s declines and those of its rivals have worsened in the back half of the year as oil’s slide has gained speed. HYG is off 5.6% over the past six months as the United States Oil Fund (NYSEArca: USO) has plunged nearly 47% over the same period.

The message from the options market regarding HYG is clear: More declines are on the way.

“About 56,000 bearish and bullish options changed hands daily on average in December, compared with an annual mean of less than 23,000 through the end of November,” according to Bloomberg.

As oil prices have tumbled, high-yield corporate bond investors have become skittish due to the rising influence of the energy sector within the U.S. junk bond market. Energy issuers account for 15% of the U.S. high-yield market, up from less than 10% seven years ago. [Oil Will Drag Junk Bond ETFs Down]

Oil and gas issuers account for 13.5% of HYG’s weight, the ETF’s second-largest sector allocation behind a 14.9% weight to consumer services.

Then there is the matter of increased leverage. At the end of the second quarter, U.S. shale producers had a total of $190.2 billion in debt, up from less than $150 billion at the end of 2011, according to Bloomberg data.

For the entire story from ETFtrends.com, please click here.

Mr. Shriber has been involved with financial markets for over a decade and has been writing about ETFs for over seven years. Prior to joining ETF Trends, Mr. Shriber was the chief ETF analyst at Benzinga. His written work has appeared on MarketWatch, Minyanville and Investopedia, among other web sites and major daily newspapers such as the New York Times and Washington Post.

Thailand Tanks; The Russian Connect ($RSK): A Macro-Strategy View From Rareview

Below is excerpt only from today’s edition of macro-strategy commentary courtesy of Rareview Macro LLC publication “Sight Beyond Sight”

Neil Azous, Rareview Macro LLC
Neil Azous, Rareview Macro LLC

Firstly, the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET Index (symbol:  SET) is showing the largest negative and the Dollar-Rupiah (USD/IDR) is showing the largest positive risk-adjusted returns across regions and assets.

Of note, Thai stocks fell almost 10% at one point last night and the Indonesian Rupiah weakened by 2% to its lowest level relative to the US Dollar in 16 years. The head of the Thai bourse said no measures were needed to shore up stocks and investors shouldn’t panic and the Indonesia central bank reiterated their view that they will always be in market to stabilize the IDR currency.

 

Why do we start by highlighting Thai and Indonesian risk assets?

Because South East Asia is the clearest example we have seen of foreign investors pulling out of emerging markets and a prime example of what happens to stocks and currencies when there is a lack of liquidity. more

IndexIQ Future is Insured: Acquired by New York Life

FINAlternativesLogoExtract courtesy of reporting by FinAlternatives.com

New York Life Investment Management has acquired IndexIQ, a leader in the liquid alternative exchange-traded fund industry, for an undisclosed amount.

The high-profile acquisition is NYLIM’s first foray into the ETF space.

Upon closing of the transaction, IndexIQ will be integrated into NYLIM and marketed through New York Life’s MainStay Investments platform. It will add $1.5 billion to MainStay’s $101 billion in assets under management.

“Our entry into the ETF space is a significant leap forward for New York Life Investment Management and offers remarkable opportunities all around,” said Drew Lawton, NYLIM CEO, in a statement. “Retail and institutional investors are increasingly attracted to ETFs because they offer a cost-effective, transparent way to access investment opportunities across asset classes around the globe. IndexIQ has established itself as a true innovator and market leader offering the next generation of liquid alternative ETFs, and we intend to leverage IndexIQ’s capabilities to become the dominant provider of non-traditional ETF solutions to the market…At the same time, IndexIQ provides a robust ETF platform that New York Life can use to consider new and diverse offerings in the future.”  more

Macro Trading View: Short Gold v. Long Silver; Long Euro Stoxx 50 (SX5E) versus Short S&P 500 (SPX)

Below excerpt from a.m. edition of Sight Beyond Sight, is courtesy of global macro think tank, Rareview Macro LLC

Neil Azous, Rareview Macro LLC
Neil Azous, Rareview Macro LLC

New Strategy – Short Gold vs. Long Silver

This morning we sold 3000 GLD 12/20/14 P112 at .63 to close.

We rotated our short Gold bias using put options into a short Gold versus long Silver spread using futures.

The updates were sent in real-time via Twitter.

Below are two illustrations: A “monthly” chart of long Gold versus Silver and a matrix containing our trade construction details.

Note that this is not a short-term “tactical” trade but rather an intermediate term “strategic” trade. As such, it will be managed with greater latitude in terms of risk.

Similar to the 200-day Moving Average (200-DMAVG), we find long-term Linear Regression Channels can be a strong technical indicator.

For those not familiar with Linear Regression Lines, it is a line that best fits all the data points of interest and consists of three parts: more

Global Macro Trading: Why It’s a Timeless Tactic

MarketsMuse Editors Note: Giving credit when due and in connection with below excerpt, MarketsMuse extends a “shout-out” to UK-based publication CampdenFB, one of several ‘banners’ serving the family office universe and operated under the Campden Wealth media umbrella.

“….With such pitiful returns, is it any wonder why global macro investing has fallen out of favour with many family offices?…”

Indifference to the style should not translate into ignorance of the geopolitical climate and macroeconomic data, warns Steven Drobny, founder of Santa Monica-based Drobny Capital and author of Inside the House of Money.

“Global macro is the hardest strategy to understand in the hedge fund space because of its breadth of instruments, markets, and inherent complexity, but the macro world is the driver of everything,” says Drobny. “You can’t just pick a stock based on fundamentals without understanding how it can be impacted by geopolitical risk, the price of oil, interest rates and other macroeconomic issues.”

For most developed-world family offices, Drobny says if you’re looking to diversify your portfolio, there are not a lot of opportunities within the highly correlated world of fixed income and equities. You need to look at global macro exposure.

“You don’t need to be a ‘macro guy’ trading fixed income arbitrage opportunities or frontier market sovereign bonds – or even put all your money in macro hedge funds. But you do need global macro exposure, as well as an understanding of what implicit macro bets you have in your broader portfolio,” says Drobny. “You need to look forward, not backwards, which means maintaining a strong understanding of how the world may evolve.”

The entirety of the article can be found by clicking this link

Options Mart Innovation: Now a 20-Minute Contract

What will they think of next? Is trading options with a weekly expiration too long? According to latest news, the newest binary option contract from Nadex, the 20 minute option, might suit some traders’ needs.

The North American Derivatives Exchange (Nadex), a regulated online binary options exchange in the U.S. announced the launch of 20-minute binary options contracts earlier this week.

The new contracts are geared at retail traders who have a short-term speculative focus and want to get involved in the options market. The new 20-minute binary contracts will be listed between the hours of 9:40am and 4pm EST, Monday through Friday and are available on the top U.S. Index products.
Prior to the launch, Nadex options have had hourly, daily and weekly expiration time. Prior to the launch, Nadex options have had hourly, daily and weekly expiration times. Nadex’s new binary contracts will have durations of 20 minutes, with expirations on the hour, at 20 minutes after the hour and 40 minutes after the hour

In just one week, options contracts with an expiration of 20 minutes have become the second most popular offering on trading platform Nadex, as retail investors seek faster and faster gratification. Continue reading

Equities Options Marts Bustling: 1 Billion Contracts Trade in Q3

tradersmag  Trading in equities options is enjoying a resurgence, thanks to recent volatility in underlying cash markets, a burst in IPO activity and heightened hedging action in the stocks of companies such as Apple, Inc. according to reporting by TradersMag. Citing a TABB Group recent study, 0ptions mart trading volume exceeded 1 billion contracts in Q3. The third quarter gains represent a 4.9% increase from the second quarter total and an 8.2% increase from the year-earlier period.

options volumeIn its latest research, “U.S. Options Market Review: Third Quarter 2014,” Tabb Group also reported that U.S. options volume rebound was driven in part by a 15.8% jump in September’s total as retail fervor around Apple’s new product announcements, the Alibaba IPO and rising volatility brought monthly volume to 365.9 million contracts.

The report, compiled and written by TABB Group principal Andy Nybo, head of derivatives research, also noted that volatility spikes in late July and late September helped push volatility averages up in each month, with the CBOE index averaging 13.5 in both August and September – prompting more trading.

Weeklies trading, Nybo noted, remained strong in the third quarter with volume totaling 270 million contracts, up 7% from the second quarter total and 39% from the year-earlier period.

Noted Matt Gohd, market strategist at WallachBeth Capital, “Aside from volume spikes that typically come with increased volatility, I think there is clearly an increasing trend towards using equity option strategies for opportunistic, alpha capture and hedging purposes on the part of sophisticated investors as well as institutional fund managers.” Added Gohd, “The better news is that an increasing number of fiduciaries recognize that equity option strategies can play a crucial part of their overall approach to managing risk in a responsible way.”

To Russia With Love: Market Vectors Russia ETF RSX:US

bloomberg lp logoMarketsMuse update courtesy of extract from Bloomberg LP Elena Popina and Jackie Klauberg

Что ты собирáeшься дéлать с таки́ми больши́ми деньгáми?

(translation: What are you going to do with all that money?)

russia with loveInvestors are piling into the biggest exchange-traded fund tracking Russian equities at a record pace as the cheapest valuations in emerging markets and easing tension in Ukraine spur bets stocks will rebound.

The number of outstanding shares in the Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX:US) has soared 59 percent since early August to 94.5 million, the highest level since April 2011. The demand is building after the fund tumbled (RSX:US) 12 percent in the last three months to trade near a five-year low.

The ETF is swelling as investors speculate that Russian stocks, which have dropped the most in the world this year as international sanctions curbed growth, will recover amid signs the seven-month conflict in Ukraine is easing. Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said yesterday the country will recognize the results of parliamentary elections in the former Soviet republic as a cease-fire entered its eighth week.

“Waning geopolitical tensions and low valuations could be a good reason to invest and then cash in, once the valuations go up,” Ivan Manaenko, head of research at Veles Capital LLC in Moscow, said by phone on Oct. 27. “Any absence of fighting and any evidence of dialog is seen by investors as positive.”

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