Courtesy of Marketwatch/Benzinga.com
It seems like whenever the rally in the S&P 500 is discussed, at least when it is talked about in positive terms, it is associated with favorite Wall Street vernacular such as “risk on” and “animal spirits.”
With the SPDR S&P 500 SPY -0.39% up almost 41 percent in the past three years, including dividends paid, it is not illogical to think risk on has ruled the roost over that time.
A closer examination of sector ETFs paints a different picture. As was highlighted on Monday, the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR XLY -0.62% has been the standout of the nine sector SPDRs funds over the past three years. Thing about XLY is the ETF has a beta of one against the S&P 500 and annualized volatility of 16.88 percent.
Said another way, XLY is not the most volatile, nor is it the riskiest ETF out there. Simply put, this has been a risk off rally and it has been that way for three years. Returns accrued by sector ETFs prove as much.
High Beta Disappoints…Sort Of. Here is a trivia question: Excluding XLY, which is the only sector SPDR that is perceived as a high-beta play to outpace SPY over the past three years? Answer: The Energy Select Sector XLE -0.13% . XLE has topped SPY by 350 basis points over that time while being 660 basis points more volatile.
The 23.1 percent gain for the Materials Select Sector SPDR XLB -0.85% only look good in comparison to the 19.4 percent gain for the Financial Select Sector SPDR XLF -0.49% . Those ETFs have betas of 1.22 and 1.23, respectively, against the S&P 500. Continue reading