Tag Archives: Leveraged and inverse exchange-traded funds

Macro Muse: Expert Says: Short USTs, Yields Poised to Rise

Courtesy of one of our reader’s sighting this a.m.’s comments from Rareview Macro LLC’s “Sight Beyond Sight”, we’re compelled to cite the original source:

Neil Azous, Rareview Macro LLC
Neil Azous, Rareview Macro LLC

“…For the first time in months the setup is compelling enough for us to short US Fixed Income.

Earlier this morning the model portfolio sold short enough 30-year bond futures (symbol: USM4) at 135-28 to risk $50,000 USD per basis point. The reference point or last yield on the 30-year cash bond is ~3.40%. The first target in cash yield terms is 3.48% and the second is 3.52%. A stop at 3.36% (closing basis) has been placed. This is a short-term tactical trade with a risk-reward profile of three to one (3:1)…”

For those who embrace the above outlook, our insightful reader who pointed out the above sighting caveats: You can increase your chances by using a non-leveraged short ETF like TBF or simply shorting the long ETF. Beware: shorting bonds ETFs will result in you having the pay the dividends, which can be substantial.

Below includes a snapshot of (3) inverse-bond ETFs that could be considered by those seeking to hedge against or exploit a pending spike in UST yields. *

Note: MarketsMuse DOES NOT OFFER OR RECOMMEND TRADE IDEAS, NOR DO WE ENDORSE ANY SPECIFIC ETF PRODUCT Continue reading

Exotic ETFs Going Mainstream

Leveraged and inverse exchange-traded funds received a lot of scrutiny during the volatility of last year. But now that volatility is down and equities are on the rise, investors are more and more viewing these once exotic products as just another way to take positions on the direction of the markets.

That was the opinion of ETF insiders speaking on the panel “Volatility and Leveraged ETFs” at the Security Traders Association of New York conference on Thursday. ETFs that are leveraged two, three times, or even more, or that move in an inverse relationship to indexes like the S&P 500, are slowly becoming more accepted.

Stephen Sachs, head of capital markets for ProShares, said that while ETFs drew a lot of attention during high-volatility periods last year, the actual evidence suggests those instruments did not cause the volatility. Leveraged and inverse products were only a small part of trading during those periods, and important macro events were also very much in play, he said.

“At the end of the day, volatility is not an asset,” Sachs said. He added that unlike actual asset classes, investors don’t take buy and hold positions on the VIX. Investors in VIX ETFs need to understand that the product exists for taking positions on risk, not for long-term investments.

Chris Hempstead, director of ETF execution at WallachBeth Capital, said inverse and leveraged products have gotten more than their fair share of press. However, they too serve a specific purpose, and the investment community needs to learn more about them.  “If you trade anything, you should be paying attention to the ETF market,” Hempstead said. “It [the market] is a lot harder [to understand] than it was five years ago.” Continue reading