Tag Archives: risk-on

The Risk On Rally That Keeps on Ticking: Benzinga

benzinga-logo Courtesy of Marketwatch/Benzinga.com

It seems like whenever the rally in the S&P 500 is discussed, at least when it is talked about in positive terms, it is associated with favorite Wall Street vernacular such as “risk on” and “animal spirits.”

With the SPDR S&P 500 SPY -0.39% up almost 41 percent in the past three years, including dividends paid, it is not illogical to think risk on has ruled the roost over that time.

A closer examination of sector ETFs paints a different picture. As was highlighted on Monday, the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR XLY -0.62% has been the standout of the nine sector SPDRs funds over the past three years. Thing about XLY is the ETF has a beta of one against the S&P 500 and annualized volatility of 16.88 percent.

Said another way, XLY is not the most volatile, nor is it the riskiest ETF out there. Simply put, this has been a risk off rally and it has been that way for three years. Returns accrued by sector ETFs prove as much.

High Beta Disappoints…Sort Of. Here is a trivia question: Excluding XLY, which is the only sector SPDR that is perceived as a high-beta play to outpace SPY over the past three years? Answer: The Energy Select Sector XLE -0.13% . XLE has topped SPY by 350 basis points over that time while being 660 basis points more volatile.

The 23.1 percent gain for the Materials Select Sector SPDR XLB -0.85% only look good in comparison to the 19.4 percent gain for the Financial Select Sector SPDR XLF -0.49% . Those ETFs have betas of 1.22 and 1.23, respectively, against the S&P 500. Continue reading

ETF Trading Desk Head Says: “Risk is On…Today..”

Courtesy of the ETF Professor at Benzinga.com

U.S. equities and other riskier assets are in rally mode in the first trading session of 2013 after lawmakers finally got around to agrbenzinga-logoeeing on legislation that steered the U.S. away from the dreaded fiscal cliff. News that a deal was in the works ignited a rally on Monday while news that the cliff will be dodged has done the same today as the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up about 230 points at this writing while the Nasdaq Composite is sitting on a gain of 2.3 percent.

The tenor of Wednesday’s U.S. trading session is clearly risk on, so much so that before 10:30 AM Eastern time, the overall value of equities and ETFs traded was $73 billion, according to data provided by ETF execution firm WallachBeth. New York-based WallachBeth noted that only trading day in all of 2012 – December options expiration – saw equity value traded exceed $70 billion in the first hour of trading.

Chris Hempstead, WallachBeth Capital
Chris Hempstead, WallachBeth Capital

In a note to clients, WallachBeth Director of ETF Execution Services Chris Hempstead highlighted intense buying activity “on the ask” in several marquee broad market ETFs. Buying on the ask could be described as “panic buying” to some extent as traders that are willing to buy on the ask price being shown are indicating they are willing to pay up to acquire shares of a particular stock or ETF. The more times the ask price is hit, the more intense a rally becomes.

Read the full story at Benzinga.com