In connection with all that news re futures broker Peregrine Financial’s fraud-induced collapse, Sal Gilbertie, head of Teucrium Funds—an ETF provider offering futures-based commodities ETFs—told IndexUniverse’s Correspondent Cinthia Murphy that futures-based ETFs might be the answer to retail investors’ futures-related concerns . Gilbertie, whose firm sponsors the red-hot, $100 million Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSEArca: CORN), argued that the transparency of the ETF structure ensures that investors’ interests are guarded closely.
Murphy: What makes fund providers like Teucrium immune to contagion from the negative publicity, or more importantly, from the apparent risks in the system? Where does the risk lie for an investor?
Gilbertie: I can only speak for Teucrium and what we do. There’s a lot of transparency in the publicly traded ETP system, something you don’t always see at the FCM level, as many of them are not publicly traded. As a NYSE listed security, any Teucrium ETP is subject to the SEC reporting requirements of a public company, including regular independent audits. In the futures market, investors are protected by the clearing mechanism that backs-up their margin. Investors that leave excess margin in the hands of their FCM subject this excess capital to risk. Non-public FCMs are not subject to the same level of SEC required scrutiny and regulation that applies to publicly traded ETPs. The Teucrium family of NYSE funds sweeps its excess capital from our FCM on a daily basis.
Murphy: Should we assume, then, that in light of all that has gone down with Refco and Peregrine, investors will be less willing to leave excess capital sitting around? How would that affect the system?
Gilbertie: Professionals sweep their excess margin daily. Smaller investors may find it expensive and difficult to regularly sweep excess capital. As such, these investors may turn to professionally managed futures accounts or to publicly listed commodity-based ETPs that meet their investment objectives.Murphy: And they are going to turn to ETFs for their commodities exposure? Are they safer there?
Gilbertie: I think, logically, that’s where they could turn for access to futures. However, the design and benchmark of an ETP needs to match the investment objective of the investor for the ETP to be truly suitable as an investment or futures replacement. A publicly traded futures-based ETF is subject to SEC reporting requirements to which non-public FCMs are not.
Murphy: If part of the problem small speculators face relates to their inability to pay minimum account requirements of a top-tier broker as they look to mitigate risk, how does accessing futures via ETFs compare in terms of cost?
Gilbertie: Unless an investor is looking to partake in the futures-based delivery mechanism, a properly chosen futures-based ETP may be the way to go to get exposure and participate in one’s chosen commodity. Costs can vary from commissions to minimum account balances, but the real key to determining what may be most cost effective for an investor is the design and benchmark exposure of the ETP.
Murphy: Is it fair to say, at the end of the day, that these futures broker scandals are good for futures-based ETFs rather than bad? Futures-based ETFs already represent about 9 percent, or more than $106 billion, of total U.S. ETF assets and they have been growing. These events should not sidetrack that growth trend?
Gilbertie: In my opinion, more and more investors seem to be seeking direct exposure to commodities. It is our mission at Teucrium to provide publicly traded, transparent, understandable, and cost effective commodity based ETPs as an alternative to futures investing.
Speaking of CORN, we published this on July 18:
Most of the United States is currently under abnormally dry or severe drought conditions. This is not entirely uncommon as it is summer however many experts are saying this is the worst it has been since the 1956.
According to Accuweather.com the corn yield could drop to as low as 138 bushels per acre. One month prior the USDA had forecast 166 bushels per acre. According to UBS a yield below 140 bushels could push the price above $9 a bushel.
The USDA has reported that almost 40% of this year’s corn crop is in poor condition. This is almost 4x more than a year ago.
Everything from feeder cattle to corn and soybeans are feeling the impact in a big way.
Not only is the drought having an impact on the crops, the demand for grains is increasing as China is projected to have a bigger appetite.
With grain prices on the rise and water scarce, cattle farmers are increasingly culling their herds as the increasing costs are too much to absorb, driving feeder cattle prices lower. While insurance should be a nice safety net for many (USDA expected to underwrite billions in claims-crop insurance companies anyone?), the recovery of the stocks and inventories could be a concern going forward.
Brazil on the other hand is clearly a winner to the current weather pattern here as their corn and soybean crop is in great shape and their exports are on the rise.
While there is no light at the end of the tunnel, there are some ETFs you may want to consider watching if this extreme weather sparked has your interest.
As a Jersey guy I am happy to report that the local farmers market has ample supplies of corn at reasonable prices ($3 for 6 ear). Butter on the other hand, a staple use a lot of, is crushing my wallet.
CORN- Teucrium Corn Fund: $49.74 ADV 185k shares. MTD +40% – AUM$100mm
SOYB- Teucrium Soy Bean Fund: $26.66 ADV 35k shares. MTD +17% – AUM $7.3mm
COW- IPath DJ-UBS Livestock Total Return ETN: $27.28 ADV 25k shares. MTD -2% – AUM $48mm
DBA- Powershares DB Agricultural Fund: $29.62 ADV 1.1mm shares. MTD +14% – AUM $1.9bb
WEAT-Teucrium Wheat Fund: $24.64 ADV 10k shares. MTD +30% – AUM $3.6mm
RJA- Elements Rogers Agriculture Total Return ETN: $9.74 ADV 350k shares. MTD +20% – AUM $398MM
JJG- IPath DJ UBS Grains ETN-$61.04 ADV 90k shares: MTD +37% – AUM $183mm
JJA- IPath DJ UBS Agriculture ETN-$63.87 ADV shares: MTD +27% – AUM $124mm
For fertilizer and agribusiness ETF consider:
MOO- Market Vectors Agribusiness Fund: $49.77 ADV 500k shares. MTD +5.5% – AUM $5.5bb