Archives: July , 2012

What’s Next? Single-Stock Futures. Here’s Why..

 

Industry Pro Thomas Halikias contributed the following “Single Stock Futures…A New Dawn?” to Tabb Forum. Excerpted version is below, full article available by clicking on Tabb’s logo..

In nearly every conversation about single stock futures – and they’re happening more frequently than ever these days – several typical misconceptions emerge:

  • “Futures?  We don’t trade futures.”
  • “Single stock futures? They don’t seem very liquid.”
  • “How do single stock futures minimize our U.S withholding tax?”

The product’s unfortunate association with speculative trading strategies often found in illiquid commodities has been a significant barrier in extolling the many virtues of this sophisticated financing and stock lending instrument. While customers can and do trade single stock futures in a speculative manner, the more subtle uses of them can be easily overlooked. Additionally, trading single stock futures does not specifically require Commodity Future Trading Commission (CFTC) registration – exemptions are available for most equity-based strategies.

Single stock futures can be packaged against the underlying equity to either finance a long equity position or to “lend” the underlying equity to parties interested in obtaining the long shares for an extended period of time.

For example, if an institution wishes to finance a specific equity position, it would sell the underlying equity simultaneously with the purchase of the equity’s single stock future. This simultaneous transaction is called an exchange for physical (EFP) and bears absolutely no directional market risk. The pricing differential is based solely on market financing rates.

For a “lending” transaction, the institution would perform a similar simultaneous equity for future EFP but in this case the pricing differential would be based on the market rate for borrowing the stock. In both transactions, the institution would select the appropriate future expiration cycle to match their desired time frame for financing or “lending” the security. Continue reading

Buying an ETF for More Than The Ticker

Courtesy of Forbes Contributor Ari Weinberg

July 30

If you invest in exchange-traded funds, you’ve probably heard about the forthcoming service from IndexUniverse.

If you really follow ETFs, you’ve probably wondered what took them so long.

Years in the making, publisher IndexUniverse is finally rolling out its own ratings and analysis service for ETFs. Currently in commercial beta for financial advisers, institutions and other professionals, ETF Analytics takes a different tack than uber, fund-rating firm Morningstar (MORN).

IndexUniverse rolls up its individual ETF analysis into both letter and number grades, while leaning on its current ETF classification system for sectors, themes, styles and more. The service is launching with evaluations on all equity-based ETFs and will eventually cover fixed income, currencies and alternatives.

But Zagat of ETFs it’s not. And, at an initial price of $3000, the service is not for the faint of heart or light of wallet.

For top-level insight on what an individual investor can glean from the new product, I sent over a few questions to Matt Hougan, President of ETF Analytics for IndexUniverse.

AW: What is the biggest or most common mistake investors make when evaluating an ETF?

MH: Just buying tickers.

We see far too many investors just buying the ETFs they are familiar with, or trusting how ETFs are marketed, without looking under the hood.

Take the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI). It has the bulk of the assets for ETF investing in China. But the truth is: It does a terrible job capturing China. FXI has no exposure to technology and very little exposure to consumers.  Eighty percent of the portfolio is invested in old-school, ex-government firms, with none of the entrepreneurial, middle-class-driven growth that most investors want from China.

A fund like SPDR S&P China (GXC) gives you much better exposure, but investors don’t bother to look.

AW: Should buyers differentiate between products for “traders” and “investors?” Continue reading

“QE3 Slated for August, the EU World Will Not End, China Could Hit a Wall

Market commentary (excerpt of July 25 desk notes distributed to institutional fund managers) courtesy of  Ron Quigley, Managing Director/Head of Fixed Income Syndicate for Mischler Financial Group. While not ETF-centric per se, its a good read!

Ron Quigley

Tonight we’re taking a bit of a reprieve from the standard dire EU news by delivering quite a different opinion of where the world’s headed.  It’s great intelligence from one of my very senior source relationships on the street.  It’s sure to get your attention whether you are Treasury/Funding, Syndicate, buy-side accounts, public service commissions or senior bank administrators……

Blackstone has it’s prognosticator in Byron Wien.  You’ll recall his recent blog in which his trusted source forecast an end-of Europe.

The “seer” was referred to only as “the smartest man in Europe”. Generally speaking Wien has often quoted his brilliant, worldly and wealthy oracle for the past decade.  Unfortunately after much digging, our only profile of Wien’s “source” is that he is 90 years old, owns a Bentley, a private jet and lives in one of the Cote d’Azur’s three “Caps” which would pin-point him in either Cap d’Antibes, Cap d’Ail or St. Jean Cap Ferrat.

One would think that should pretty much be a giveaway but if you know anything about the French Riviera there are many wealthy old people who would fit-the-bill.  Today, our intelligence comes from a very respected international banker at one of the world’s largest financial institutions.  We could also characterize the person as “brilliant”, “worldly” and “wealthy” but we prefer to pitch the person as much more down-to-earth….as he would want.  There is certainly no hot-air here and substantive macro insights.

Here are the take-away’s straight from our “source’s” mouth.  We hope it’s revealing and helpful:

Continue reading

Don’t Forget Index Trading Costs

 

Courtesy of Paul Amery

Remember to check the assumptions made for the cost of trading when examining a new index concept.  ( Editor note: read between the lines, even though the phrase “best execution” is missing from this piece, the article should inspire thoughtful consideration re what true best execution entails).

Vanguard’s warning of the perils of index data mining is timely. As the number of “smart beta” index concepts increases, each promising superior performance than old-fashioned, capitalisation-weighted benchmarks, the possibility of investors getting hoodwinked also grows.

Just about anything can be used to “predict” something else if you use historical data series creatively enough. According to fund manager David Leinweber, the Wall Street Journal reports, annual butter production in Bangladesh “explained” 75% of the annual returns of the S&P 500 over a 13-year period. If you throw in data for US cheese production and the combined sheep population of the US and Bangladesh, Leinweber says, you get to “forecast” US stock prices with 99% accuracy.

Not everyone got the joke. A number of firms asked Leinweber to share his data on Bangladeshi butter production so that they could build a trading strategy around them, the WSJ tells us. Were any index and ETF providers looking for a new smart beta concept among them, by any chance?

Vanguard has its own axe to grind in all this, we shouldn’t forget. The firm sticks religiously to using traditional, cap-weighted indices as the basis for its passive funds, arguing that anything else is an active bet on market behaviour and should be recognised as such. I’ve argued before that this is as much as a commercial strategy as anything else—Vanguard’s huge size precludes it from even considering index concepts that are in any way capacity-constrained, as many non-cap-weighted approaches are. Continue reading

Taker-Maker Cupcake Baker- Nasdaq BX Options Fee Scheme Takes Hold

 

Courtesy of Peter Chapman/TradersMagazine

The launch of the Nasdaq OMX BX options exchange, at the end of June, marked not only the debut of the industry’s 10th exchange, but an expansion of the use of taker-maker pricing.

In contrast to the conventional maker-taker pricing model whereby exchanges pay liquidity providers and charge liquidity takers, BX Options will pay liquidity takers and charge liquidity suppliers. While the scheme is relatively common in the cash equities business, its usage has been limited in options.

Nasdaq has said it expects BX Options to appeal to broker-dealers who are big takers of liquidity and may not be receiving payment for their order flow from intermediaries; or they may be unsure if they are being adequately compensated by their intermediaries. BX Options will not otherwise facilitate payment for order flow.

Professional traders who trade directly on the exchanges rather than go through an intermediary are expected to benefit. So too are some retail brokerages that deliver mostly market, or liquidity-taking, orders to intermediaries.

“Competitively speaking, this is a positive,” said Gary Sjostedt, director of order routing and sales at TD Ameritrade. “It keeps the exchanges on their toes price-wise.”

The BOX Options Exchange actually pioneered the taker-maker pricing strategy in the options market in 2009, but was the only exchange using it until this year. Then, in early June, the International Securities Exchange switched 25 options classes to taker-maker pricing.

BX Options instituted taker-maker pricing on July 2, becoming the third exchange to do so. There are differences among the three offerings. In contrast to the ISE, BX Options will offer taker-maker pricing in all options traded in penny increments. In contrast to BOX, Nasdaq will limit the rebate strategy to customers only.

For most of the BX names, Nasdaq will pay 32 cents per contract on customer orders that take liquidity. That compares with 22 cents for BOX’s “regular” market and 30 cents for trades in its auction. ISE also pays 32 cents per contract. Continue reading

Euro-Zone ETFs-One Expert’s Contrarian Perspective

According to today’s NY Times, one of the world’s savviest investors is once again taking a contrarian view, and this time its Europe.

While Wall Street is continuing to wave a yellow flag whenever investing in European markets is discussed (after all, the widely-advertised risk of  “Greece contagion” remains at the forefront of most institutional investors minds),   Marc Lasry, founder and head of hedge fund Avenue Capital is decidedly color-blind, albeit perhaps with the exception of Spain and Italy.

Even though Lasry’s firm specializes in taking stakes in the distressed debt of individual companies, his macro outlook is worth considering by those whose investment style focus on specific sectors via use of ETPs.

“Europe isn’t going away, and the companies aren’t going away,” Mr. Lasry said. “You can never time a bottom. What you can do is a time a cycle and five years from now, people will say, ‘Why didn’t I buy?’ 

There is a broad list of Euro-market ETFs, but because this publication does not recommend the purchase or sale of any securities, savvy investors need to pick and choose to determine which products best meet their investing goals and horizons.

 

Post Peregrine Financial Fraud: Futures ETFs Offer Safe Haven For Commodities Players

Courtesy of Cinthia Murphy

In connection with all that news re futures broker Peregrine Financial’s fraud-induced collapse, Sal Gilbertie, head of Teucrium Fundsan ETF provider offering futures-based commodities ETFs—told IndexUniverse’s Correspondent Cinthia Murphy that futures-based ETFs might be the answer to retail investors’ futures-related concerns . Gilbertie, whose firm sponsors the red-hot, $100 million Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSEArca: CORN), argued that the transparency of the ETF structure ensures that investors’ interests are guarded closely.
Murphy: What makes fund providers like Teucrium immune to contagion from the negative publicity, or more importantly, from the apparent risks in the system? Where does the risk lie for an investor?

Gilbertie: I can only speak for Teucrium and what we do. There’s a lot of transparency in the publicly traded ETP system, something you don’t always see at the FCM level, as many of them are not publicly traded. As a NYSE listed security, any Teucrium ETP is subject to the SEC reporting requirements of a public company, including regular independent audits. In the futures market, investors are protected by the clearing mechanism that backs-up their margin. Investors that leave excess margin in the hands of their FCM subject this excess capital to risk. Non-public FCMs are not subject to the same level of SEC required scrutiny and regulation that applies to publicly traded ETPs. The Teucrium family of NYSE funds sweeps its excess capital from our FCM on a daily basis.

Murphy: Should we assume, then, that in light of all that has gone down with Refco and Peregrine, investors will be less willing to leave excess capital sitting around? How would that affect the system?

Gilbertie: Professionals sweep their excess margin daily. Smaller investors may find it expensive and difficult to regularly sweep excess capital. As such, these investors may turn to professionally managed futures accounts or to publicly listed commodity-based ETPs that meet their investment objectives. Continue reading

SEC Punts on Payments to ETF Market Makers

Courtesy of Rosalyn Retkwa

 

The Securities and Exchange Commission has decided not to decide yet whether to approve proposals by Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange to pay market makers to make better markets in thinly traded ETFs. The proposals would require an exemption from a current prohibition against such payments.

Rather than approving or rejecting the idea, the SEC decided last Wednesday, July 11, to seek another round of comments on pilot projects put forth by Nasdaq and NYSE Arca (the electronic exhange formerly known as Archipelago). In its 83-page order instituting proceedings to determine whether to approve or disapprove the proposed pilots — posted on the SEC’s web site last Thursday — the SEC listed 27 questions asking for more input on specific points. “They’re keying up the issues,” said a source who asked not to be named.

Under the law, the SEC has 45 days to respond to these kinds of regulatory filings by the exchanges, with an automatic right to extend the initial deadline by another 45 days.

July 11 was the 90-day mark for the Nasdaq’s proposal, and while the SEC had until August 14 to respond to NYSE Arca, it decided to consider both proposals with a joint order — a suggestion made by Vanguard, the mutual fund and ETF sponsor headquartered in Valley Forge, Pennsylvania, which filed separate comment letters on both proposals. Continue reading

June ETF Short Report: ‘Q’s’ Shorts Drop 42%

Courtesy of Olly Ludwig

Short-sellers last month significantly cut their bets against an array of the broadest U.S. stock indexes, which looks quite sensible in the rearview mirror considering both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones industrials average rallied by nearly 4 percent in June.

While financial markets are again on tenterhooks over the dismal fiscal situation in Europe—and Spain’s in particular—last month marked something of a respite from the three-year-old eurozone debt crisis, as short interest on non-U.S. stocks fell as well.

Most conspicuously, the number of shares short on the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NasdaqGM: QQQ), the Nasdaq 100 ETF, dropped 42.6 percent in June, compared with a nearly 9 percent rise in the prior month. The decline left short interest on the “Q’s” at 10 percent of the ETF’s outstanding long float, compared with more than 18 percent at the end of May, according to data compiled by IndexUniverse.

Shorts on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEArca: SPY) meanwhile fell by almost 23 percent in June, compared to a 13 percent jump in May. Also, short interest on the iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund (NYSEArca: IWM) fell by more than 7 percent last month, after holding about steady in the prior month.

Dark Clouds Ahead? Continue reading

How NOT to Execute Your ETF Block Order..Best Ex Memo

Editor note: For those who didn’t get the”Best Ex Meets Worst Ex” memo,  Ugo Egbunike from IndexUniverse spotlighted a block trade in QAI this past Monday that was apparently mangled by the executing broker, illustrating once again that ETFs are NOT stocks, and real best execution requires guidance from a truly-professional trader that actually knows how to execute ETF orders.

Someone got taken to the cleaners on Monday, buying 16,000 shares of  QAI—a trade that highlight the nuances of market-on-close (MOC) orders. They could have avoided it. Here’s what happened, why and how you can avoid it.

At 4:00:00 p.m. ET, around 16,000 shares of the IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETF (NYSEArca: QAI) were executed at $28.83—that’s $1.28, or 4.64 percent, more than its last traded price of $27.55 at 3:59:59 p.m. Eastern time. It was completely unwarranted.

At 3:59:59 p.m. ET, someone was offering 12,800 shares at $27.56. The fund’s underlying value didn’t change in that one second. At the end of the day, its net asset value was $27.50.

 

Time Exchange Bid Size Bid Ask Ask Size Trade
3:59:15
NYSE Arca
100
27.51
27.55
3,900
3:59:59
NYSE Arca
200
27.51
27.55
1,600
3:59:59
EDGA
$27.55
3,800
3:59:59
NYSE Arca
200
$27.51
$27.56
3,800
3:59:59
NYSE Arca
200
$27.51
$27.56
12,800
4:00:00
NYSE Arca
$28.88 *
16,077
4:00:00
Nasdaq
200
$27.51
$27.60
18,000

* NYSE Arca Market Closing Price                                                                        Source: Bloomberg

The trade was the result of a poorly executed market-on-close (MOC) order. MOC orders for NYSE Arca-listed ETFs are automatically entered into the NYSE closing auction, which is outside of the core trading session.

Unfortunately, orders in the NYSE closing auction are exempt from Rule 611: the Order Protection rule.  The basic idea behind the rule is to protect investors from faulty trades by comparing all nationally placed quotes.

If a better price exists for a market order, it gets routed to that exchange before it can get traded at its current exchange. In the case of the MOC trade in QAI, there was no protection—the trade was exempt because it occurred during the auction and not during the regular trading session.

It seems likely that the buy order was entered as a market order into the MOC NYSE closing auction. Had it been a limit order, the buyer’s limit would not have been $28.83, which means the final execution price would have been great news. Given that the last price was $27.55, a market order must have been behind that terrible trading strategy. Continue reading

A New ETF Managed By ‘Random Roger’

ImageCourtesy of Brendan Conway

Once upon a time, exchange-traded funds were simple index trackers. Nowadays you see the launch of products like the AdvisorShares Global Alpha & Beta ETF (RRGR).

This actively managed exchange-traded fund, which launched on NYSE Arca today, is built to reflect manager Roger Nusbaum’s ”tactical” and “global asset-allocation strategy (and his stock picks), with the aim of beating major indexes such as the S&P 500 and the Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index. It also has the unusual feature of buying and selling other ETFs. The “Random Roger” thing will be familiar if you’ve visited Nusbaum’s popular blog.

RRGR, which launched today on NYSE Arca, has a weighting of nearly 15% in the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Technology Sector Index Fund (IYW), 12% in cash, and 4% in the Vanguard Telecom Service ETF (VOX). HJ Heinz (HNZ), Kinder Morgan Emerging Partners (KMP) and Diageo PLC (DEO) are three of 11 stocks and ETFs that carry a 3% weighting, according to AdvisorShares. The yield will be around 3%, also according to AdvisorShares.

There have been predictions that actively managed ETFs are the next big thing. So far, though, the deepest inroads have been made in actively managed bond funds. Bill Gross’ Pimco Total Return ETF (BOND), just a few months old, is already the biggest actively managed ETF by assets. But the biggest equity ETF by assets isn’t a conventional equity ETF at all — it’s the $325 million AdvisorShares Active Bear ETF (HDGE), a short-selling strategy.

The new ETF has a net expense ratio of 1.40%, according to AdvisorShares’ website. Nor is it the first ETF to buy and sell other ETFs — AdvisorShares already has some of those.

HARD is On:Currency-Centric ETF

by Cinthia Murphy

United States Commodity Funds, the firm behind the $1.25 billion U.S. Oil Fund (NYSEArca: USO), filed paperwork with U.S. regulators to market its first currency fund, this one a futures-based currency ETF that would serve up exposure to a basket of five currencies at a time.

The U.S. Golden Currency Fund (NYSEArca: HARD) is a commodity pool comprised of futures contracts that represent equally weighted interest in five hard currencies that are widely used, easily exchangeable and issued by an economically strong country, the company said. The portfolio, which is rebalanced monthly, will have an estimated annual fee of 0.85 percent, including 0.60 percent in management fees.

The base currency for the strategy is the U.S. dollar, and therefore the dollar is not eligible to be one of the five currencies in the mix, the prospectus said.

Instead, the fund will select its exposure annually from the 25 most actively traded global currencies as measured every three years by the Bank of International Settlement currency trading report, the filing said. The latest BIS list, which was published in 2010, had the U.S. dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Australian dollar and the Swiss franc at the top. Continue reading

Cash Management ETFs Will Boom..

Commentary below courtesy of Paul Amery, IndexUniverse.eu

Forbes columnist Ari Weinberg points out that bond ETFs should be seen as the “money market fund of tomorrow”, and he’s right.

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are well-positioned to make significant inroads into the US$2.7 trillion money market fund (MMF) sector, which is fighting a fierce rearguard action to maintain the fiction that fund net asset values can be kept stable.

In a vociferous lobbying campaign targeted at the US securities regulator, the Securities and Exchange Commission, a long list of US corporate and state treasurers say they can’t imagine a world in which MMFs might be allowed to “break the buck”—ie, have values that could fall below a dollar a share.

The chairman and namesake of the Charles Schwab Corporation, which manages US$160 billion in money market funds, told the SEC last month that MMFs are low-risk. “In 2008, at the depth of the financial crisis,” said Schwab, “only one money fund lost value for its clients. It lost one percent of its value; that is just one penny of the US$1.00-per-share price.”

But SEC chairman Mary Schapiro offers up a different version of events. She pointed out recently that over 300 money market funds have been bailed out by their sponsors since the 1970s. Just because MMF investors lost out only once or twice because fund sponsors stepped in to hide losses on the other occasions doesn’t mean that there isn’t risk to the whole system, in other words. Continue reading

ISE Lifts a Leg: Plans to Introduce Yet Another New Options Exchange

The International Securities Exchange (ISE), the venue that bills itself as the first all-electronics options exchange in the United States will open a second by year’s end. The company has has filed a Form 1 application for a second exchange license with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

No details about the products to be traded, market structure, or fee schedule of the new exchange have been announced – except that it will run on ISE’s “Optimise” technology.

“Our Optimise technology platform was designed to support multiple markets and will enable our member firms to leverage their existing connectivity for our new exchange,’’ said Gary Katz, President and Chief Executive Officer of ISE.

The new exchange, the company said, however, will make use of a new piece of functionality added to Optimise: Legging orders.

According to a document filed with the SEC, a legging order is an order on the regular order book in an individual series representing one leg, or side, of a two-legged complex options order.

A legging order may be automatically generated for one leg of a complex order under two circumstances.

First, when the price matches or improves upon the best displayed bid or offer on the regular limit order book.

Secondly, when the net price can be achieved as the other leg is executed against the best displayed bid or offer on the regular limit order book.

The multiple-legged order type, ISE believes, will improve liquidity for complex orders by enabling interaction between the complex and regular order books.